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Creators/Authors contains: "Soderholm, Joshua"

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  1. Free, publicly-accessible full text available November 1, 2025
  2. Abstract Hail research and forecasting models necessarily involve explicit or implicit—and uncertain—physical assumptions regarding hailstones’ shape, tumbling behavior, fall speed, and thermal energy transfer. Whereas most models assume spherical hailstones, we relax this assumption by using hailstone shape data from field observations to establish empirical size–shape relationships with reasonable degrees of randomness considering hailstones’ natural shape variability, capturing the observed distribution of triaxial ellipsoidal shapes. We also incorporate explicit, random tumbling of individual hailstones during their growth to simulate their free-falling behavior and the resultant changes in cross-sectional area (which affects growth by hydrometeor collection). These physical attributes are incorporated in calculating hailstones’ fall speeds, using either empirical relationships or analytical relationships based on each hailstone’s Best and Reynolds numbers. Options for drag coefficient modification are added to emulate hailstones’ rough surfaces (lobes), which then modifies their thermal energy and vapor exchange with the environment. We investigate how applying these physical assumptions about nonspherical hail to the Penn State hail growth trajectory model, coupled with Cloud Model 1 supercell simulations, impacts hail production and examine the reasons behind the resulting variability in hail statistics. The choice of hailstone size–mass relation and fall speed scheme have the strongest influence on hail sizes. Using nonspherical, tumbling hailstones reduces the number of large hailstones produced. Applying shape-specific thermal energy transfer coefficients subtly increases sizes; the effects of lobes vary depending on the fall speed scheme used. These physical assumptions, although adding complexity to modeling, can be parameterized efficiently and potentially used in microphysics schemes. Significance StatementIn numerical modeling of hailstorms, we usually consider hailstones to be spherical to simplify calculations, but in nature, hailstones generally are not spheres and can be rather lumpy and have spikes. The purpose of this study is to examine how the model result would change when nonspherical hailstone shape is implemented. We examine the relationship between hailstone shape and physical processes during hail growth in effort to explain why these changes occur and offer insights on how nonspherical hailstone shape may be parameterized in bulk microphysics schemes. 
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  3. Abstract. The layered structures inside hailstones provide a direct indication of their shape and properties at various stages during growth. Given the myriadof different trajectories that can exist, and the sensitivity of rime deposit type to environmental conditions, it must be expected that manydifferent perturbations of hailstone properties occur within a single hailstorm; however, some commonalities are likely in the shared early stagesof growth, for hailstones of similar size (especially those that grow along similar trajectories) and final growth near the melting level. Itremains challenging to extract this information from a large sample of hailstones because of the time required to prepare cross sections andaccurately measure individual layers. To reduce the labour and potential errors introduced by manual analysis of hailstones, an automated method formeasuring layers from cross section photographs is introduced and applied to a set of hailstones collected in Melbourne, Australia. This work ismotivated by new hail growth simulation tools that model the growth of layers within individual hailstones, for which accurate measurements ofobserved hailstone cross sections can be applied as validation. A first look at this new type of evaluation for hail growth simulations isdemonstrated. 
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  4. Abstract. A new technique, named “HailPixel”, is introduced for measuring the maximum dimension and intermediate dimension of hailstones from aerial imagery. The photogrammetry procedure applies a convolutional neural network for robust detection of hailstones against complex backgrounds and an edge detection method for measuring the shape of identified hailstones. This semi-automated technique is capable of measuring many thousands of hailstones within a single survey, which is several orders of magnitude larger (e.g. 10 000 or more hailstones) than population sizes from existing sensors (e.g. a hail pad). Comparison with a co-located hail pad for an Argentinian hailstorm event during the RELAMPAGO project demonstrates the larger population size of the HailPixel survey significantly improves the shape and tails of the observed hail size distribution. When hail fall is sparse, such as during large and giant hail events, the large survey area of this technique is especially advantageous for resolving the hail size distribution. 
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  5. Abstract On 8 February 2018, a supercell storm produced gargantuan (> 15 cm or > 6 inches in maximum dimension) hail as it moved over the heavily populated city of Villa Carlos Paz in Córdoba Province, Argentina, South America. Observations of gargantuan hail are quite rare, but the large population density here yielded numerous witnesses and social media pictures and videos from this event that document multiple large hailstones. The storm was also sampled by the newly installed operational polarimetric C-band radar in Córdoba. During the RELAMPAGO campaign, the authors interviewed local residents about their accounts of the storm, and uncovered additional social media video and photographs revealing extremely large hail at multiple locations in town. This article documents the case, including the meteorological conditions supporting the storm (with the aid of a high-resolution WRF simulation), the storm’s observed radar signatures, and three noteworthy hailstones observed by residents. These hailstones include a freezer-preserved 4:48-inch (11:38-cm) maximum dimension stone that was scanned with a 3D infrared laser scanner, a 7:1-inch (18-cm) maximum dimension stone, and a hailstone photogrammetrically estimated to be between 7:4 and 9:3 inches (18:8-23:7- cm) in maximum dimension, which is close to or exceeds the world record for maximum dimension. Such a well-observed case is an important step forward in understanding environments and storms that produce gargantuan hail, and ultimately how to anticipate and detect such extreme events. (Capsule Summary) Gargantuan hail fell in Argentina on 8 February 2018, including one hailstone that is possibly a world-record for maximum dimension. We document eyewitness and social media accounts of the hail, and analyze the parent storm and its environment. 
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